If Democrats succeed on Election Day, women will be one big reason
There has been a lot of reporting on the phenomenon of white college-educated women moving away from Republicans and, in some cases, running toward Democrats due to how repulsed they are by Donald Trump. Some of this has been anecdotal, but the polling on women is telling. In a Washington Post/ABC news poll, Trump enjoys 48 percent support among men compared to just 33 percent support among women. And check out the trend lines from the same poll on female party identification over the last eight years, which is moving increasingly toward Democrats and away from the GOP.
Democratic gains among women start around the end of 2014, when just over 50 percent of female voters identified as Democrats, and get a nice little bump when Trump becomes pr*sident, reaching 58 percent now. And in the eight-year period between 2010 and 2018, Republicans lost fully 7 points among women who identify with the party.
Indeed, Civiqs polling also shows independent women leaning more toward Democrats during Trump’s tenure, starting last spring with 40 percent preferring Democrats in the generic ballot compared to 51 percent now.